Forecasting & predictive models
Estimate demand, workloads, stock needs or likely outcomes using suitable historical data. Backtest against practical baselines and communicate uncertainty.
Build / See what may happen. Choose what to do.
Use forecasting, optimisation and simulation to improve operational decisions. We build systems for demand, capacity, workforce allocation, routing and planning around the constraints your business actually faces.
Discuss this with usThe opportunity
A spreadsheet can show what happened. Planning the next shift, delivery route or stock decision also requires uncertainty, competing goals and practical limits to be considered together.
Prediction estimates a likely outcome. Optimisation chooses an action within constraints. Simulation explores how a system might behave under different conditions. We select the combination that fits the decision and compare it with your current planning approach.
Estimate demand, workloads, stock needs or likely outcomes using suitable historical data. Backtest against practical baselines and communicate uncertainty.
Balance available people, skills, vehicles, capacity, time windows and service requirements. Make trade-offs explicit and allow planners to inspect and adjust recommendations.
Model selected operational behaviour and compare scenarios before making a change. Validate assumptions and distinguish modelled outcomes from real-world results.
Tangible outputs
The exact scope is agreed around your workflow. A typical engagement can include:
Illustrative workflow
Forecast demand → apply availability and service constraints → compare plans → a planner adjusts and approves → track actual outcomes.
An example of how this capability can fit a business process.We agree useful measures before implementation and compare them with the current workflow.
It depends on the decision, seasonality and how stable the process is. We assess coverage and quality before selecting a method.
No. A simulation represents selected behaviour and assumptions. Its value depends on validation and on using it for decisions within those limits.
Yes. A planning system can expose constraints, explanations and adjustments, with a record of changes and their effect.
Useful before you start
Start with work you can observe, data you can access and an outcome you can measure.
A working demonstration is a starting point. A released service also needs integration, ownership and a dependable response to failure.
A useful budget covers the whole workflow: data, integrations, evaluation, people and the cost of keeping it running.
A useful next step
One process, one product idea, or a question about where to start.